To leave the explanation to people more apt than we are, here we recommend two references:
- https://danluu.com/dunning-kruger/
- https://www.mcgill.ca/oss/article/critical-thinking/dunning-kruger-effect-probably-not-real
If the Dunning Kruger effect (should we accept it exist) is not what everyone seems to think it is about ... what is then people's perceived experience really anchored on? Just a working hypothesis:
- we are witnessing the results of a difficulty in evaluating the sources of our knowledge, when the media to which we are exposed give us the delusion of consulting "sources" despite rather offering us (most of the time) "opinions", sometimes quite far from the sources themselves. If one places a lot of trust in its "sources", having the invested efforts in keeping up with some topic, then an unsolvable communiction chiasm opens up with/against people trusting other "sources", and "non-negotiability" (one's own, and others') is confused with "inability to understand" (others', ça va sans dire 😉)
- in incrementally more static and less just societies (welfare cuts, uncertainty of justice, slow/complex bureaucracies, ...) stigmatization of others becomes a defense, offering an excuse as to why something might happen to other people and (hopefully) not to us. It's happened before in history, and in today scientism-inclined societies, the dominant Dunning-Kruger misinterpretation is quite the tool for this (hypothetically evidence-based, even intuitive as we subjectively have experience of others' metacognitive limitations, as mentioned above)
Added on December 28th, 2021
It's worth noting another piece of research exists, "The misunderstood limits of folk science: an illusion of explanatory depth" by Profs. Rozenblit and Keil from 2002, focusing on a prospective, longitudinal observation of a cohort learning skills and how the personal self-estimated competence peaks and dips in a "U" shape over time as they first get acquainted with the theory, then are exposed to practical experience, and later accumulate practical expertise... This is notably not studying the same phenomenon discusses above, but it's likely part of the personal experience contributing to the belief in the misunderstood/false Dunning Kruger as popularized.
It's worth noting another piece of research exists, "The misunderstood limits of folk science: an illusion of explanatory depth" by Profs. Rozenblit and Keil from 2002, focusing on a prospective, longitudinal observation of a cohort learning skills and how the personal self-estimated competence peaks and dips in a "U" shape over time as they first get acquainted with the theory, then are exposed to practical experience, and later accumulate practical expertise... This is notably not studying the same phenomenon discusses above, but it's likely part of the personal experience contributing to the belief in the misunderstood/false Dunning Kruger as popularized.
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